Methods: We estimate Stochastic Actor-Oriented (R-Siena) Models using longitudinal social network data from over 6,700 adolescents from six high schools over seven waves of data that span 4.5 years. Siena models social networks dynamically over time, allowing for the separate parameterization of peer influence and peer selection effects. We build on the basic influence vs. selection framework by testing interactions between peer behaviors and internalizing problems, specifically, we hypothesize that depressed youth are more likely to befriend alters who drink, and that depression renders adolescents more susceptible to peer influence processes.
Results: We find that adolescents tend to befriend peers who are similar to them with respect drinking, however, we also fined that adolescents who drink are more likely to be chosen as friends. Depression does not significantly moderate this selection process. We also find evidence of peer influence: adolescents whose friends drink are more likely to become drinkers themselves. In some schools, popularity was also positively associated with drinking. Depression is, in some schools, directly associated with increased drinking. However, there is no evidence that depression increases susceptibility to peer influence processes.
Conclusion: We conclude that peer influence is an important factor in the diffusion of alcohol abuse, and that depression, while it is itself a risk factor for drinking, does not significantly alter this process. A second key conclusion is that popularity appears, in some schools, to be reciprocally linked to drinking. Future prevention efforts should more fully consider direct peer influence and more distal influences through the linkage between drinking and popularity in school.