Paper 1, “Longitudinal Predictors of Early and Late School Dropout in South African High School Students,” we address a huge but understudied problem in South Africa (SA), school dropout from a longitudinal perspective. Using proxy measures of dropout based on responding to a series of questionnaires across 8 waves of data, we start to gain a picture of factors that contribute to early and later school leaving. These findings provide insight into how prevention efforts might be better designed to reach a group of extremely vulnerable youth.
Paper 2, “Free-Time Predictors of South African Adolescent Methamphetamine Use,” provides an understanding of a rapidly escalating problem of methamphetamine use among SA youth. In SA, common wisdom suggests that much MA use takes place in informal and unsupervised settings that includes being on school property. This study empirically addresses that conjecture and findings have direct policy implications regarding environmental factors and intervention efforts that may decrease risk of MA use.
Paper 3, “Predicting Implementation Quality of the HealthWise South Africa Prevention Program: Preliminary Analysis,” is the first analysis of our efforts to better understand factors that contribute to implementation quality by teachers in 56 high schools who are teaching the HealthWise (HW) intervention. HW uses a variety of pedagogical methods and provides Grade 8 and 9 students with information about sexual risk, substance use, and how to use their free time in healthy ways. Findings from these preliminary analyses will inform ways to promote implementation quality as programs are taken to scale.